What I Bet - Wednesday May 13th

Griffin Warner talks betting for Wednesday.

Griffin Warner — Real_G Warner across all platforms — is back with a loaded Wednesday edition of What I Bet, and the card spans five sports, more than twenty betting matchups, and one of the more eventful MLB slates of the early 2026 season. Warner opens in England, where Manchester City hosts Crystal Palace with the Premier League title race suddenly alive after months of Arsenal dominance, breaking down the two-goal line, the under three and a half total, and why a defensive Palace side on the road might be the value play even inside a cup final atmosphere. From London to Rome for the Coppa Italia final at the Stadio Olimpico, where Lazio pseudo-hosts Inter Milan, the reigning Serie A champions, in a neutral cup final where Warner firmly leans under two and a half, expecting the kind of organized, low-scoring final that cup competitions reliably produce. Then it is off to Spain for four consecutive La Liga matches that all carry survival implications, from Villarreal hosting a desperate Sevilla side clinging to safety by three points with three games left, to Espanyol hosting a disappointing Athletic Club Bilbao squad in a motivation mismatch, to Getafe and the near-automatic under two goals lean, and finally to Warner's clearest play of the entire soccer card — Alaves plus the half against a Barcelona team celebrating La Liga on the road with a side Warner is not confident will show up fully motivated or fully staffed. The NHL gets one game on this Wednesday card, Minnesota visiting Colorado, and Warner pulls no punches: Colorado is the best team in the playoffs, the shot counts confirm it even when the scores were close, and his lean is toward the under in a game where Minnesota is competing for their lives but operating at a visible disadvantage. Then it is fourteen straight MLB games, moving from Reid Detmers facing Parker Messick and the under seven in Cleveland, to Nick Lodolo and the Reds hosting Jake Irvin with Warner leaning over nine in a park that rewards offense, to the emotional centerpiece of the MLB card — Andrew Painter struggling at 6.89 ERA heading into Fenway to face Ranger Suárez, who left Philadelphia for a five-year, $130-million deal in Boston this winter and who the Phillies are clearly missing already. Warner covers Griffin Jax transitioning to a starting role for a hot Tampa Bay team facing Dylan Cease, takes San Diego plus 136 with Michael King on the mound against Jacob Misiorowski in Milwaukee, backs Shōta Imanaga's opponent JR Ritchie at plus 119 with the over in Atlanta, leans Arizona and under in the gas grill that is Globe Life Field against Kumar Rocker, fades Simeon Woods Richardson in Minnesota against Max Meyer, leans over for Bryce Miller's 2026 debut against Lance McCullers in Houston, leans over in Oakland for Liberatore against JT Ginn, and wraps the slate with Robbie Ray facing Shohei Ohtani and the Dodgers with an over lean on a total Warner considers surprisingly small. Before signing off, Warner drops the active promo code — SHINE10 at Pregame.com, good through May 26, for $10 off anything including Rest of May All Access at $89 — then delivers his official best bet for the episode: Philadelphia Phillies versus Boston Red Sox over nine, backed by Painter's struggles and a Suárez who has not quite locked in his new home rhythm yet. Find the show on the Straight Outta Vegas AM feed and follow Real_G Warner across all social platforms.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices